A CMIP6-ensemble-based evaluation of precipitation and temperature projections     
Yazarlar (3)
Banu Yılmaz
Karadeniz Teknik Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Egemen Aras
Bursa Teknik Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Doç. Dr. Sinan NACAR Tokat Gaziosmanpaşa Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Makale Türü Açık Erişim Özgün Makale
Makale Alt Türü SSCI, AHCI, SCI, SCI-Exp dergilerinde yayınlanan tam makale
Dergi Adı Theoretical and Applied Climatology
Dergi ISSN 0177-798X Wos Dergi Scopus Dergi
Dergi Tarandığı Indeksler SCI-Expanded
Dergi Grubu Q3
Makale Dili İngilizce
Basım Tarihi 06-2024
Cilt No 155
Sayı 8
Sayfalar 7377 / 7401
DOI Numarası 10.1007/s00704-024-05066-7
Makale Linki https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-024-05066-7
Özet
Understanding climate change’s effects on dam basins is very important for water resource management because of their important role in providing essential functions such as water storage, irrigation, and energy production. This study aims to investigate the impact of climate change on temperature and precipitation variables in the Altınkaya Dam Basin, which holds significant potential for hydroelectric power generation in Türkiye. These potential impacts were investigated by using ERA5 reanalysis data, six GCMs from the current CMIP6 archive, and two Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP2 − 4.5 and SSP5 − 8.5) scenario data. Four Multi-Model Ensemble (MME) models were developed by using an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) approach (ENS1), simple averaging (ENS2), weighted correlation coefficients (ENS3), and the MARS algorithm (ENS4), and the results were compared to each other …
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