The causality between energy consumption and economic growth in Turkey     
Yazarlar (3)
Prof. Dr. Gülistan ERDAL Tokat Gaziosmanpaşa Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Prof. Dr. Hilmi ERDAL Tokat Gaziosmanpaşa Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Kemal Esengün
Tokat Gaziosmanpaşa Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Makale Türü Özgün Makale
Makale Alt Türü SSCI, AHCI, SCI, SCI-Exp dergilerinde yayınlanan tam makale
Dergi Adı Energy Policy
Dergi ISSN 0301-4215 Wos Dergi Scopus Dergi
Dergi Tarandığı Indeksler SSCI
Dergi Grubu Q4
Makale Dili İngilizce
Basım Tarihi 10-2008
Cilt No 36
Sayı 10
Sayfalar 3838 / 3842
DOI Numarası 10.1016/j.enpol.2008.07.012
Makale Linki http://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S0301421508003583
Özet
This paper applies the causality test to examine the causal relationship between primary energy consumption (EC) and real Gross National Product (GNP) for Turkey during 1970-2006. We employ unit root tests, the augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) and the Philips-Perron (PP), Johansen cointegration test, and Pair-wise Granger causality test to examine relation between EC and GNP. Our empirical results indicate that the two series are found to be non-stationary. However, first differences of these series lead to stationarity. Further, the results indicate that EC and GNP are cointegrated and there is bidirectional causality running from EC to GNP and vice versa. This means that an increase in EC directly affects economic growth and that economic growth also stimulates further EC. This bidirectional causality relationship between EC and GNP determined for Turkey at 1970-2006 period is in accordance with the ones in literature reported for similar countries. Consequently, we conclude that energy is a limiting factor to economic growth in Turkey and, hence, shocks to energy supply will have a negative impact on economic growth. © 2008 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Anahtar Kelimeler
Energy consumption | Economic growth | Granger causality