Do Sectoral Growth Promote CO2 Emissions in Pakistan? Time Series Analysis in Presence of Structural Break      
Yazarlar (4)
Amjad Ali
European School Of Administration And Management (Esam), Fransa
Marc Audi
European School Of Administration And Management (Esam), Fransa
Doç. Dr. İsmail ŞENTÜRK Tokat Gaziosmanpaşa Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Yannick Roussel
European School Of Administration And Management (Esam), Fransa
Makale Türü Açık Erişim Özgün Makale
Makale Alt Türü SCOPUS dergilerinde yayınlanan tam makale
Dergi Adı International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy
Dergi ISSN 2146-4553 Scopus Dergi
Dergi Tarandığı Indeksler SCOPUS
Makale Dili İngilizce
Basım Tarihi 03-2022
Cilt No 12
Sayı 2
Sayfalar 410 / 425
DOI Numarası 10.32479/ijeep.12738
Özet
This study has examined the impact of sectoral growth on CO2 emissions in the case of Pakistan from 1970 to 2019. ADF and PP unit root tests have been applied to check the stationarity of the data series, whereas the Zivot-Andrew structural break unit root test has been applied to check the existence of structural break. The results of the unit root test show there is mixed order of integration among the selected variables, Zivot-Andrew unit root test also highlights the point of a structural break in the data series. The autoregressive distributed lag model has been applied for checking the cointegration among the variables of the model. The results show that industrial growth, population density, and time trend are positively and significantly contributing to CO2 emissions in Pakistan. Whereas services sector growth is responsible for reducing CO2 emissions in Pakistan. The results show that agricultural growth and globalization are reducing CO2 emissions but this relationship is insignificant over the selected time. In the short-run industrial growth, agricultural growth, and service sector growth are reducing the level of CO2 emissions in Pakistan. Likewise, long run, trend time is promoting CO2 emissions in the short run in Pakistan. The government of Pakistan can control CO2 emissions by improvement in industrial production methods, reducing population density, and promoting services sector growth. There must be some dynamic policies are required to control the time trend impact on CO2 emission in Pakistan.
Anahtar Kelimeler
Agriculture Growth | CO Emissions 2 | Industrial Growth