A comparison of ANFIS and ARIMA techniques in the forecasting of electric energy consumption of Tokat province in Turkey     
Yazarlar (4)
Prof. Dr. Rüştü YAYAR Tokat Gaziosmanpaşa Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Prof. Dr. Mahmut HEKİM Tokat Gaziosmanpaşa Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Doç. Dr. Veysel YILMAZ Cumhuriyet Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Fehim Bakırcı
Atatürk Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Makale Türü Özgün Makale
Makale Alt Türü Diğer hakemli uluslarası dergilerde yayınlanan tam makale
Dergi Adı JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL STUDIES
Dergi ISSN 1986-8499
Makale Dili İngilizce
Basım Tarihi 07-2011
Cilt No 1
Sayı 2
Sayfalar 87 / 112
DOI Numarası 10.14706/JECOSS11124
Özet
In this study, the electric energy demand of Tokat province was estimated by means of ANFIS and ARIMA techniques. Seven different forecasting experiments were implemented for the subscriber groups and the consumption of electric energy which is the dependent variable. he electric energy demand of the province for the first six months of the year 2011 was estimated by means of ANFIS and ARIMA techniques. he obtained results were compared and interpreted in order to illustrate the forecasting success of these techniques. We showed that the ANFIS is more appropriate than the ARIMA in point of the forecasting of electric consumption.
Anahtar Kelimeler
Electric energy consumption | Forecasting | ANFIS | ARIMA | and Tokat