Spatiotemporal change and ecological modelling of malaria in Turkey by means of geographic information systems    
Yazarlar (3)
Prof. Dr. Hakan Mete DOĞAN Tokat Gaziosmanpaşa Üniversitesi, Türkiye
İlhan Çetin
Cumhuriyet Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Prof. Dr. Mücahit EĞRİ Tokat Gaziosmanpaşa Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Makale Türü Özgün Makale
Makale Alt Türü SSCI, AHCI, SCI, SCI-Exp dergilerinde yayınlanan tam makale
Dergi Adı Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene
Dergi ISSN 0035-9203 Wos Dergi Scopus Dergi
Dergi Tarandığı Indeksler SCI-Expanded
Dergi Grubu Q4
Makale Dili İngilizce
Basım Tarihi 11-2010
Cilt No 104
Sayı 11
Sayfalar 726 / 732
DOI Numarası 10.1016/j.trstmh.2010.08.003
Makale Linki http://trstmh.oxfordjournals.org/cgi/doi/10.1016/j.trstmh.2010.08.003
Özet
We described the spatiotemporal change of malaria (Plasmodium vivax) in Turkey over 34 years (1975–2008), and assessed the role of environmental variables in this change. We developed seven 5-year-period raster maps by using geo-referenced malaria case data from the centres of 81 provinces and the kriging method with a spherical variogram model in a geographic information systems (GIS) model. We also modelled malaria incidence in GIS by using our average malaria incidence raster map, and complementary spatial database including the raster map layers of 14 environmental variables. We chose linear regression analysis with backward method to investigate relationships among variables and develop a model. The model was run in GIS to obtain a model incidence raster map. We tested the reliability of the model map by residual statistics, and found the model map dependable. Five-year …
Anahtar Kelimeler