A Comparison of ANFIS and ARIMA Techniques in the Forecasting of Electric Energy Consumption of Tokat Province in Turkey
Yazarlar (4)
Prof. Dr. Rüştü YAYAR
Tokat Gaziosmanpaşa Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Prof. Dr. Mahmut HEKİM
Tokat Gaziosmanpaşa Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Doç. Dr. Veysel YILMAZ
Cumhuriyet Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Atatürk Üniversitesi, Türkiye
| Makale Türü | Özgün Makale |
| Makale Alt Türü | Uluslararası alan indekslerindeki dergilerde yayınlanan tam makale |
| Dergi Adı | Journal of Economic and Social Sciences |
| Dergi ISSN | 1986-8502 |
| Dergi Tarandığı Indeksler | ECONLIT |
| Makale Dili | İngilizce |
| Basım Tarihi | 06-2012 |
| Cilt No | 1 |
| Sayı | 2 |
| Sayfalar | 87 / 111 |
| DOI Numarası | 10.14706/JECOSS11124 |
| Makale Linki | http://www.jecoss.com/issues/year-2011-vol-1-no-2/ |
| Özet |
| In this study, the electric energy demand of Tokat province was estimated by means of ANFIS and ARIMA techniques. Seven different forecasting experiments were implemented for the subscriber groups and the consumption of electric energy which is the dependent variable. he electric energy demand of the province for the first six months of the year 2011 was estimated by means of ANFIS and ARIMA techniques. he obtained results were compared and interpreted in order to illustrate the forecasting success of these techniques. We showed that the ANFIS is more appropriate than the ARIMA in point of the forecasting of electric consumption. |
| Anahtar Kelimeler |
| Electric energy consumption | Forecasting | ANFIS | ARIMA | and Tokat |
BM Sürdürülebilir Kalkınma Amaçları
| Atıf Sayıları | |
| WoS | 4 |
| Google Scholar | 15 |