Forecasting Daily Streamflow Discharges Using Various Neural Network Models and Training Algorithms     
Yazarlar (3)
Mehmet Ali Hınıs
Aksaray Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Murat Kankal
Karadeniz Teknik Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Makale Türü Özgün Makale
Makale Alt Türü SSCI, AHCI, SCI, SCI-Exp dergilerinde yayınlanan tam makale
Dergi Adı KSCE JOURNAL OF CIVIL ENGINEERING
Dergi ISSN 1226-7988 Wos Dergi Scopus Dergi
Dergi Tarandığı Indeksler SCI-Expanded
Dergi Grubu Q3
Makale Dili İngilizce
Basım Tarihi 09-2018
Cilt No 22
Sayı 9
Sayfalar 3676 / 3685
DOI Numarası 10.1007/s12205-017-1933-7
Makale Linki http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s12205-017-1933-7
Özet
Streamflow forecasting based on past records is an important issue in both hydrologic engineering and hydropower reservoir management. In the study, three artificial Neural Network (NN) models, namely NN with well-known multi-layer perceptron (MLPNN), NN with principal component analyses (PCA-NN), and NN with time lagged recurrent (TLR-NN), were used to 1, 3, 5, 7, and 14 ahead of daily streamflow forecast. Daily flow discharges of Haldizen River, located in the Eastern Black Sea Region, Turkey the time period of 1998–2009 was used to forecast discharges. Backpropagation (BP), Conjugate Gradient (CG), and Levenberg-Marquardt (LM) were applied to the models as training algorithm. The result demonstrated that, firstly, the forecast ability of CG algorithm much better than BP and LM algorithms in the models; secondly, the best performance was obtained by PCA-NN and MLP-NN for short time (1, 3 …
Anahtar Kelimeler
daily streamflow forecasting | artificial neural network | principal component analyses | time lagged recurrent