Asymmetry in the Unemployment Output Relationship Over the Business Cycle Evidence from Transition Economies      
Yazarlar (3)
Emrah Ismail Cevik
Zonguldak Bulent Ecevit University, Türkiye
Sel Dibooglu
University Of Missouri-St. Louis, Amerika Birleşik Devletleri
Prof. Dr. Salih BARIŞIK Tokat Gaziosmanpaşa Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Makale Türü Özgün Makale
Makale Alt Türü Diğer hakemli uluslarası dergilerde yayınlanan tam makale
Dergi Adı Comparative Economic Studies
Dergi ISSN 0888-7233 Wos Dergi Scopus Dergi
Dergi Tarandığı Indeksler RePec
Makale Dili İngilizce
Basım Tarihi 12-2013
Cilt No 55
Sayı 4
Sayfalar 557 / 581
DOI Numarası 10.1057/ces.2013.7
Özet
This study examines the presence of asymmetry in Okun's law for nine transition economies by means of a Markov regime-switching model. We examine the relationship between unemployment and real GDP to ascertain whether such changes are substantially different in downswing versus upswing regimes. The nonlinear model outperforms the linear model in all transition economies in the sample except for Slovenia. There is evidence that the Okun coefficients vary across regimes and countries. In most countries, cyclical unemployment is more sensitive to cyclical output in downswing regimzes than upswing regimes. We also find recoveries entail poor job growth in most transition economies. © 2013 ACES.
Anahtar Kelimeler
Okun's law | asymmetric adjustment | Markov regime switching | transition economies | business cycles