A comparison of ANFIS and ARIMA techniques in the forecasting of electric energy consumption of Tokat province in Turkey
Yazarlar (4)
Prof. Dr. Rüştü YAYAR
Tokat Gaziosmanpaşa Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Prof. Dr. Mahmut HEKİM
Tokat Gaziosmanpaşa Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Atatürk Üniversitesi, Türkiye
| Makale Türü | Özgün Makale |
| Makale Alt Türü | Diğer hakemli uluslarası dergilerde yayınlanan tam makale |
| Dergi Adı | Journal of Economic and Social Studies |
| Dergi ISSN | 1986-8499 |
| Dergi Tarandığı Indeksler | Econlit (Journal of Economic Literature) Ebscohost Academic Search Complete ASOS Index (Sosyal Bilimler İndeksi) Index Copernicus Journal Master List |
| Makale Dili | İngilizce |
| Basım Tarihi | 05-2011 |
| Cilt No | 1 |
| Sayı | 5 |
| Sayfalar | 87 / 112 |
| Makale Linki | http://www.jecoss.com/issues/year-2011-vol-1-no-2/ |
| Özet |
| In this study, the electric energy demand of Tokat province was estimated by means of ANFIS and ARIMA techniques. Seven different forecasting experiments were implemented for the subscriber groups and the consumption of electric energy which is the dependent variable. he electric energy demand of the province for the first six months of the year 2011 was estimated by means of ANFIS and ARIMA techniques. he obtained results were compared and interpreted in order to illustrate the forecasting success of these techniques. We showed that the ANFIS is more appropriate than the ARIMA in point of the forecasting of electric consumption. |
| Anahtar Kelimeler |
