Statistically scrutinizing impact of climate variability on forest fire incidents in Turkey
Yazarlar (4)
Dr. Öğr. Üyesi Müberra ERDOĞAN KARAAĞAÇLI Tokat Gaziosmanpaşa Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Prof. Dr. Kadri YÜREKLİ Tokat Gaziosmanpaşa Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Dr. Öğr. Üyesi Mehmet Murat CÖMERT Tokat Gaziosmanpaşa Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Nurcan Menevse
Makale Türü Açık Erişim Özgün Makale (SSCI, AHCI, SCI, SCI-Exp dergilerinde yayınlanan tam makale)
Dergi Adı NATURAL HAZARDS (Q1)
Dergi ISSN 0921-030X Dergi Bilgileri (2025)
Dergi Tarandığı Indeksler SCI-Expanded
Makale Dili İngilizce Basım Tarihi 05-2025
Kabul Tarihi 15-02-2025 Yayınlanma Tarihi 15-03-2025
Cilt / Sayı / Sayfa 121 / 9 / 10323–10353 DOI 10.1007/s11069-025-07190-7
Makale Linki https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11069-025-07190-7
UAK Araştırma Alanları
Sulama Sistemleri
Özet
Abstract This study aimed to shed light on the extent to which the changing climate would affect the fire risk in forests in Turkey. For this purpose, statistical approaches and indices were applied to some climate parameters in 39 provinces with forest presence. A statistically significant increasing trend according to Şen approaches, named ITA and IPTA, was detected in the temperature datasets of almost all provinces between May and October, which was referred to as the “forest fire period” in Turkey. The annual Lang index showed that there was a tendency towards desertification and aridification in the provinces. The monthly Lang index also pointed out semi-arid and arid climates from May to September in almost all provinces. The Ångström index classifying fire risk showed the probability of fire increasing between June and September for many provinces. These findings draw attention to the impact of climate change on possible forest fires in Turkey.
Anahtar Kelimeler
Forest fire | ITA | IPTA | Lang index | & Aring;ngstr & ouml;m index
BM Sürdürülebilir Kalkınma Amaçları
Atıf Sayıları
Web of Science 7
Statistically scrutinizing impact of climate variability on forest fire incidents in Turkey