Türkiye’s Sustainability Challenge: An Empirical ARDL Analysis of the Impact of Energy Consumption, Economic Growth, and Agricultural Growth on Carbon Dioxide Emissions

KAPLAN, ESRA

doi:10.3390/su17136077

Türkiye’s Sustainability Challenge: An Empirical ARDL Analysis of the Impact of Energy Consumption, Economic Growth, and Agricultural Growth on Carbon Dioxide Emissions

Yazarlar (1)

Dr. Öğr. Üyesi Esra KAPLAN Tokat Gaziosmanpaşa Üniversitesi, Türkiye

Makale Türü	Özgün Makale
Makale Alt Türü	SSCI, AHCI, SCI, SCI-Exp dergilerinde yayınlanan tam makale
Dergi Adı	Sustainability Switzerland
Dergi ISSN	2071-1050 Wos Dergi Scopus Dergi
Dergi Tarandığı Indeksler	SCI-Expanded
Dergi Grubu	Q2
Makale Dili	İngilizce
Basım Tarihi	07-2025
Cilt No	17
Sayı	13
DOI Numarası	10.3390/su17136077
Makale Linki	https://doi.org/10.3390/su17136077

Özet

Global climate change, driven predominantly by carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, poses one of the most critical challenges to sustainability in the 21st century. As Türkiye continues to pursue economic expansion and agricultural development, the resulting rise in energy consumption has led to a substantial increase in CO2 emissions. Given Türkiye’s position as the world’s 17th largest economy and its ranking as the 15th highest CO2 emitter, understanding the country’s exposure to climate risks is essential for informing policy efforts aimed at sustainable development. This study investigates the dynamic interplay between CO2 emissions and their primary determinants in Türkiye, offering empirical insights into the pathways through which these factors influence environmental sustainability. Utilizing a 34-year time series and the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model, the findings reveal that both economic growth and energy consumption contribute significantly to rising CO2 emissions, thereby exacerbating environmental degradation. Conversely, an increase in agricultural value added is associated with a reduction in CO2 emissions, highlighting its potential role in improving environmental quality. The results underscore the urgent need for a comprehensive legal and institutional framework that supports technological innovation and accelerates the transition toward a low-carbon economy in Türkiye.

Anahtar Kelimeler

agriculture | CO2 emissions | energy | sustainability

BM Sürdürülebilir Kalkınma Amaçları

Atıf Sayıları
Google Scholar	2

Türkiye’s Sustainability Challenge: An Empirical ARDL Analysis of the Impact of Energy Consumption, Economic Growth, and Agricultural Growth on Carbon Dioxide Emissions

Dergi Adı	Sustainability
Yayıncı	Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (MDPI)
Açık Erişim	Evet
E-ISSN	2071-1050
CiteScore	7,7
SJR	0,688
SNIP	1,113

Türkiye’s Sustainability Challenge: An Empirical ARDL Analysis of the Impact of Energy Consumption, Economic Growth, and Agricultural Growth on Carbon Dioxide Emissions

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