Trigonometric Grey Prediction Method for Turkey's Electricity Consumption Prediction (Interdisciplinary Perspectives on Operations Management and Service Evaluation)
Yazarlar (1)
Doç. Dr. Adem TÜZEMEN Tokat Gaziosmanpaşa Üniversitesi, Türkiye
Bölüm Adı Trigonometric Grey Prediction Method for Turkey's Electricity Consumption Prediction
Kitap Adı Interdisciplinary Perspectives on Operations Management and Service Evaluation
Bölüm Sayfaları 136-154
Kitap Türü Kitap Bölümü
Kitap Alt Türü Alanında uluslararası yayınlanan kitap bölümü
Kitap Niteliği Scopus indeksinde taranan bilimsel kitap
Kitap Dili İngilizce Basım Tarihi 01-2021
DOI Numarası 10.4018/978-1-7998-5442-5.ch007 ISBN 9781799854449
Basıldığı Ülke Amerika Birleşik Devletleri Basıldığı Şehir
Kitap Linki https://www.igi-global.com/chapter/trigonometric-grey-prediction-method-for-turkeys-electricity-consumption-prediction/264098
UAK Araştırma Alanları
Üretim Sistemleri
Özet
Industry and technology continue to develop rapidly in today's world. The indisputable most important source of this development, energy is among the indispensables of daily life. Since it is one of the determining factors for the country's economy, the future forecast of electricity demand means calculating the future steps. Based on this, to forecast Turkey's electricity demand, it was benefited from grey model (GM) and trigonometric GM (TGM) techniques. The data set includes annual electricity consumption for the period 1970-2018. The performances of the methods determined were compared based on the forecast evaluation criteria (MSE, MAD, MAPE, and RMSE). Short-term forecasting analysis was carried out by determining the method that gives these values to a minimum. In the future forecast, it has been determined that electricity consumption will increase continuously.
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